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S&P warns it may downgrade Japan

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By MarketWatch

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said Tuesday that it may downgrade Japan's sovereign credit ratings if data don't improve or if the government doesn't get its fiscal and economic house in order.

The ratings agency said it's placed a negative outlook on Japan's AA sovereign long-term credit rating, saying it could issue a downgrade to AA- "if economic data remain weak and measures to boost medium-term growth are not forthcoming, given the country's high government debt burden and its weak demographic profile."

The announcement, which came after the close of stock market trading in Japan, initially caused the dollar to rally vs. the yen before the pair reversed course. See currencies.

The agency said it was concerned about Japan's diminishing economic policy flexibility to deal with its growing debt levels and deflationary pressures.

It said "the policies of the new Democratic Party of Japan government point to a slower pace of fiscal consolidation than we had previously expected," but added that if "we conclude that government policies, either on the fiscal side or structural reform side, will moderate the government's debt trajectory, the ratings could stabilize at the current levels."

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